Fitch Ratings' 2025 hotel sector outlook is neutral, reflecting stability, moderate growth, and varying regional confidence, with steady revenues supported by limited supply and strong business travel momentum.
Transactions in the $10 to $20 million segment are expected to pick up pace as financing becomes more accessible via the commercial mortgage-backed securities market.
The U.S. lodging sector in 2025 is expected to see muted growth with a modest RevPAR increase of 1.5%, driven by higher ADR but constrained by stable occupancy and macroeconomic pressures.
Ryman and Apple Hospitality both reported earnings beats, with Ryman raising its dividend and Apple buying back shares and tightening guidance, while Summit grew results despite hurricanes.
Analysts expect the Fed's interest rate cuts to boost hotel REIT earnings, with Ashford Hospitality Trust and Braemar Hotel Trust being the biggest beneficiaries.
OYO is acquiring G6 Hospitality from Blackstone for $525 million, adding 1,500 U.S. and Canadian locations while keeping Motel 6 and Studio 6 brands independent.