Miami

Truist Takeaways: Optimistic Yet Still Uncertain

Truist reported on takeaways from their Lodging/Leisure conference they had last week. According to CBRE’s September 2022 Hotel Horizons forecast for the overall U.S. lodging industry, rooms RevPAR will exceed 2019 annual levels in 2022. IHG Hotels & Resorts unveiled exceptional 2022 results to-date and a robust future for Hotel Indigo .

Dividend Announcements Buoy Lodging Stocks

On Friday lodging stocks ended higher: BHR rose 12% while AINC was up 7%. SOND fell -7% on the day. Raymond James downgraded Pebblebrook Hotel Trust and Xenia Hotels & Resorts to Market Perform from Outperform while cutting Sunstone Hotel Investors to Underperform from Market Perform. Ryman Hospitality also announced they were boosting their quarterly dividend, declaring the 4Q dividend of $0.25 per share.

Lodging Stocks Fall Along With Market Drops

The DJIA  fell 351 points while Nasdaq was down 225, the S&P 500 fell 58 points and the 10 year treasury yield was down .09 to 3.51%. What happened to the Santa Claus Rally? Braemar Hotels & Resorts Inc. reported preliminary portfolio occupancy of approximately 64% for November 2022 with an ADR of approximately $394 resulting in RevPAR of approximately $253. Marriott International, Inc . announced the completion of an $11 million dollar revitalization of its 395-room Falls Church Marriott Fairview Park , in Falls Church, Virginia .

Airbnb's Listings in New York Will Shrink

Morgan Stanley re-launched coverage on the lodging sector, saying they prefer C-Corps over REITs . Truist updated their estimates and price targets on some hotel names in their coverage. According to the NY Daily News, more than 10,000 Airbnb listings for short-term rentals in New York City are likely to disappear when tight new housing rules take effect next year.

Hyatt Hotels to Acquire Dream Hotel Group

Hyatt Hotels Corporation and Dream Hotel Group announced an agreement for a Hyatt affiliate to acquire Dream Hotel Group’s lifestyle hotel brand and management platform. Hyatt Hotels Corporation announced the opening of Rancho Pescadero , the first Hyatt branded luxury resort to debut in Todos Santos in Mexico . The Westin Hilton Head Island Resort & Spa , located in South Carolina , has embarked on a $10 million renovation.

IHG and Iberostar Enter Long-Term Commercial Agreement

We may be seeing a short week slowdown already starting in the financial markets. Lodging stocks were modestly lower. Deutsche Bank 's  Gaming, Lodging, Leisure & Restaurant Conference 'soverarching chorus was stability in trends and company outlooks. Pebblebrook Hotel Trust , in their monthly update, referenced that the end of October brought a return of seasonality.

Los Cabos, Mexico’s Growth Attracts More Hotel Brands

Lodging stocks were mostly lower. SOND was up 6% but that was pretty much it for any type of positive movement.  MCG fell another -11%, SLNA was down -7%, SOHO and ABNB both fell -5%. JP Morgan lowered their rating on Membership Collective Group to Neutral from Overweight. JPM said their downgraded was based on MGC’s exposure to Europe. Los Cabos Tourism Board announced unprecedented growth in tourism arrivals is expected by the end of 2022 with more than 3.3 million visitors.

The Current State of Vacation Ownership

The DJIA rose 56 points while Nasdaq was up 162, the S&P 500 rose 35 points and the 10 year treasury yield fell .07 to 3.80%. Lodging stocks were modestly higher. Truist published a report on Vacation Ownership following 3Q results from the public companies involved in the segment. Genuine Hospitality announced the opening of Tru by Hilton Naperville Chicago , the first Tru by Hilton in Illinois.

Marriott and Hilton Increase Share Buyback Authorizations

Lodging stocks were higher again with MCG up 11%, HT up 8%, ABNB up 7%, SLNA up 6% and SVC up another 5%. Both Marriott International and Hilton announced an increase in their share buyback authorizations. Hilton announced its board of directors authorized the repurchase of an additional $2.5 billion of common stock under its existing stock repurchase program.