San Francisco

Truist reports that lodging companies aren't experiencing recession-driven demand declines, with strong group and individual business but weak domestic leisure. Dolly Parton may be venturing into Nashville's hotel market with a $75 million building acquisition, and Toftrees Golf Resort in Pennsylvania announces a $50 million renovation. A new $175 million development in Mishawaka, Indiana, includes apartments, townhomes, and a 125-room hotel.

Hilton's Curio Collection is set to reach its 150th hotel milestone by the end of 2023, with notable openings in various global locations, including Kenya, Vietnam, Monaco, Australia, and Argentina. Sun Hill Properties announced plans for a new 395-key hotel next to the Hilton Los Angeles/Universal City, aimed at accommodating the 2028 Olympics. The Marriott Sanibel Harbour Resort & Spa in Florida announced the opening of a newly transformed spa and renovated guestrooms and restaurants.

U.S. hotel RevPAR rose by 4.9% for the week, with rates up by 4%. Group RevPAR also increased by 13.3%. Truist adjusted ratings and target prices: lowered ratings for some companies (e.g., Bluegreen Vacations), raised target price for Bluegreen Vacations, and decreased target prices for Hilton Grand Vacation, TNL, and VAC. A significant decline in deals across travel and tourism sectors globally during January-October 2023 compared to the same period in 2022, affecting various regions and deal types.

The Baird/STR Hotel Stock Index dropped by -2.4% in October, marking the third consecutive monthly decline. Wells Fargo adjusts price targets for Apple Hospitality and Ryman Hospitality, maintaining Overweight ratings. Trump Hotels and Irongate reach a buyout agreement for Trump International Hotel, Waikiki, transitioning to Hilton's LXR Hotels & Resorts in 2024.

Stock market rallied as treasury bond yields fell, with DJIA, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 gaining points, while lodging stocks like SOND, AHT, and others saw significant increases. Several hotel-related developments were announced, including renovations, new hotels, and property sales in various locations across the United States. Rosewood Hotels & Resorts will introduce Rosewood Blue Palace in Greece in 2025, while the British Colonial Hotel in Nassau, Bahamas, will reopen on December 12 after a $100 million renovation.

PEB reported better-than-expected 3Q results, but concerns arose from their commentary about a cooling US leisure demand and a weak 4Q guidance. Accor anticipates full-year RevPAR growth of over 20%, with strong 3Q RevPAR growth in the Middle East, Africa, and Asia Pacific segments. Various hotel developments were announced, including a Marriott conversion in New Orleans, renovations in Indian Wells, a hotel sale in Boston, and plans for a new luxury brand in San Miguel de Allende, among others.

Morgan Stanley adjusted price targets for several hotel companies, maintaining Overweight ratings for Hyatt, Hilton, Marriott, and Wyndham, but lowered the price target for Park Hotels. They also raised the price target for Choice Hotels and maintained an Underweight rating on Pebblebrook Hotel Trust. Marcus Hotels & Resorts' new Chief Investment Officer, Tiffany Leadbetter Donato, aims to expand the company's hotel portfolio beyond the Midwest for greater geographic and customer diversity. Hotel del Coronado, part of Curio Collection by Hilton, is investing over $160 million to restore and revitalize its historic Victorian building in Coronado, California, with a target completion date in Spring 2025.

CBRE U.S. Hotels State of the Union (October 2023) shows August RevPAR declined by -0.7%, with a -1.7% occupancy drop. Total revenue growth outpaced RevPAR growth in July by 2.5%. U.S. loan origination decreased, and hotel job openings continue to decline. Hotel rates are expected to rise globally in 2024, with potential increases of up to 17.5% in some cities, according to American Express Global Business Travel's Hotel Monitor 2024. The Baird/STR Hotel Stock Index was down -2% in September. Year-to-date, the Hotel Brand sub-index increased by 23%, while the Hotel REIT sub-index decreased by -1.5%.

Stock market indices showed gains on Friday, with DJIA up by 288 points, Nasdaq up by 212 points, and S&P 500 up by 50 points, while the 10-year treasury yield increased to 4.78%. San Francisco saw a significant increase in weekday occupancy, and STR reported a 66.3% occupancy rate for US hotels in September 2023. Several new hotels and renovations were announced, including Aloft Hotel near Fort Lauderdale, Residence Inn in Vail, and the Union Station Nashville Yards.

Truist  reported on its visit to  San Francisco  for the Visit Impact Summit. The good news is that the fall 2023 events are showing improvement. Marriott International  announced the completion of a recent redesign and renovation to the 146-room  Courtyard by Marriott Denver Central Park  in Denver, Colorado . Airbnb  stock received a big lift with the announcement of its  inclusion in the S&P 500 .