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Latest Data on U.S. Hotel Performance

U.S. Hotel Industry Performance (Oct 2023): Shows mixed results with slight declines in occupancy (-1.8%) and EBIDTA PAR (-1.2%), but increases in ADR (+3.0%), RevPAR (+1.2%), TRevPAR (+4.0%), GOPPAR (+3.7%), and LPAR (+5.9%). Hyatt plans over 35 new luxury hotels by 2025 across its brand portfolio. Other notable openings include Auberge Resorts' Bowie House in Texas, Six Senses Xala in Mexico, Riu Palace Pacifico's refurbishment in Mexico, and new Universal Orlando resorts.

IHG Brings Wonderland Experience to Select Hotels

Park Hotels & Resorts announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.15 and a special top-off dividend of $0.78, totaling nearly $635 million returned to shareholders in 2023. R New and renovated Holiday Inn properties opened in Mansfield, Ohio, and Milwaukee, Wisconsin. LuxUrban Hotels signed agreements to operate two New York City hotels.

New CEOs for Fairmont and Orient Express

Truist remains optimistic about US hotel demand and RevPAR, favoring C-Corp stocks like HLT, MAR, and H, and recommending Hyatt and Ryman Hospitality among REITs. Hilton is expanding in Baja California, Mexico with Tapestry Collection hotels. Ashford Hospitality Trust faces lawsuits over loan defaults. Accor announced executive appointments and a new hotel in Poland with Allenort Group.

Wyndham Wants No Part of Choice's Hostile Takeover Bid

Short of taking out a billboard or skywriting, we have no idea how much more  Wyndham Hotels & Resorts  can do to tell  Choice Hotels to go away on its bid. With the Fed expected to be done with its interest rate hike cycle, we expect the attention will turn to the Lodging REITs shortly. Marriott International’s Aloft Hotels  said  Aloft Lake Nona  announced its December opening in the Lake Nona community of Orlando, Florida.

U.S. RevPAR Projected to Be 14% Above 2019 Levels Next Year 

CBRE forecasts 3.0% RevPAR growth in 2024, driven by improved international travel and economic factors. Lodging stocks were mixed today with SOND biggest mover, down -12%, SHCO and AHT both down -6%, VCSA fell -5%. Various hotel projects announced, including new developments in Las Vegas and North Carolina, renovations in Nashville and Pocono Mountains, and upcoming openings in Florida and Virginia.

Global Deal Announcement Slowed in First 9 Months of 2023

U.S. hotel RevPAR rose by 4.9% for the week, with rates up by 4%. Group RevPAR also increased by 13.3%. Truist adjusted ratings and target prices: lowered ratings for some companies (e.g., Bluegreen Vacations), raised target price for Bluegreen Vacations, and decreased target prices for Hilton Grand Vacation, TNL, and VAC. A significant decline in deals across travel and tourism sectors globally during January-October 2023 compared to the same period in 2022, affecting various regions and deal types.

Bay Area Gets Closer to Welcoming a Margaritaville

The Baird/STR Hotel Stock Index dropped by -2.4% in October, marking the third consecutive monthly decline. Wells Fargo adjusts price targets for Apple Hospitality and Ryman Hospitality, maintaining Overweight ratings. Trump Hotels and Irongate reach a buyout agreement for Trump International Hotel, Waikiki, transitioning to Hilton's LXR Hotels & Resorts in 2024.

Marriott and Hilton Embrace Dividends and Stock Buybacks

DJIA rose 391 points, Nasdaq up 277, and S&P 500 rose 68, with notable movements in lodging stocks, Hilton, and Marriott. PwC predicts economic challenges for hotels through 2024. CBRE reports mixed trends in the U.S. hotel industry, with RevPAR contraction, short-term rentals gaining market share, and outbound U.S. travelers surpassing inbound. Several hotel developments and expansions are underway, including in Banff, Nashville, and Park City. Hilton expands to Monaco, Marriott brings The Luxury Collection to Greece, and Minor Hotels debuts in Paris. Various hotel acquisitions, developments, and renovations are announced across the United States, reflecting a dynamic and evolving hospitality landscape.

Hilton to Open a Bevy of New Properties in 2024

Braemar Hotels (BRH) and Ashford Hospitality Trust (AHT) reported 3Q results, with BRH missing estimates due to its resort/leisure focus, experiencing a -7.1% decline in RevPAR growth. AHT's results exceeded expectations, especially in urban assets, with a 4% growth in RevPAR. Hersha Hospitality shareholders approved a $1.4 billion, all-cash deal for KSL Capital Partners to acquire the hotel REIT, taking them private. The deal, valued at $10 per share, is expected to close in the current quarter. The Global Hotel Investor Sentiment Survey by JLL revealed a surge in lodging demand, with global RevPAR up 10.2% relative to 2019. Key findings include 81% of investors planning to be net buyers, a preference for urban markets (84%), and a focus on luxury and select-service hotels. Investors anticipate a rise in hotel pricing per key and face challenges like the cost of capital, rising insurance costs due to climate risk, and deferred capital expenditures.